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According to the poll, UDA enjoys support from 23 per cent of adult Kenyans, confirming its role as the country’s most popular party. The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) follows at 19 per cent, highlighting a persistent rivalry between the ruling party and the main opposition.
The Embakasi East legislator was the favourite pick of 33 percent of respondents, followed by Siaya Senator and ODM party leader Oburu Odinga at 10 percent.
Oburu also called on supporters to back ODM leaders serving in government, noting that such support would boost the party’s bargaining power. Reaffirming his commitment to lead the party after Raila Odinga’s death, he said, “That responsibility has not defeated me. I am holding that mantle firmly,” and urged members to maintain unity and focus.
The survey details show ODM’s support rising from 13 percent in September to 20 percent in November, while UDA’s popularity has remained steady at 16 percent. Jubilee’s backing grew from 3 percent to 11 percent, but DCP saw a drop from 9 percent to 6 percent.
According to TIFA, ODM’s nationwide popularity has climbed to 20 per cent, surpassing President Ruto’s United Democratic Alliance (UDA) at 16 per cent. Experts suggest the increase may reflect post-Raila sympathy rather than strong approval of the party’s current political stance.
She brushed off talk of factions within the party, saying ODM continues to be guided by collective leadership under Senator Oburu Odinga.
Speaking during the funeral of their younger sister, Beryl Odinga, Oburu dismissed claims of uncertainty or a leadership vacuum within ODM, insisting that the party remains stable and firmly structured.
Speaking during an interview with Radio Generation on Thursday, the ODM communications director said the news of Raila’s death hit him and many others with a force they were not prepared for, even though he had been receiving treatment in India.
In his statement, Kuria emphasised that his decision was not driven by tribal affiliations or party interests, but by a shared commitment to confronting the deep-rooted challenges facing Kenya’s capital.
Homa Bay Deputy Governor Oyugi Magwanga has accused the governor of unlawfully locking his office, the County Secretary’s office, and the Payroll Management office, in what he terms a direct attack on his authority.
Dagoretti North MP Beatrice Elachi faults ODM’s mobilisation, internal deals and Nairobi governance, warning Luo Nyanza politics will be highly competitive in 2027 unless the party restructures.
In a formal appointment letter dated November 11, 2025 and addressed to Dr. Omullo in Berlin, Germany, Senator Oburu said the diplomat would serve as a “key advisor” in advancing ODM’s external engagements and strengthening its global partnerships.