Hard truths.
The department's latest outlook comes as meteorologists assess the role of ocean temperatures in determining the distribution and intensity of rainfall expected during the October-December period.
In an update issued on Thursday, the agency said El Niño is expected to reach very strong intensity before peaking towards the end of 2026, with its climate impacts likely to continue well into 2027.
The forecast, issued on Wednesday, August 26, shows that above average rainfall is expected across much of the country.
The Kenya Meteorological Department has also warned that weather conditions could change sharply before the end of the year, with relatively dry months giving way to heavy rains and possible flooding.
Kenya’s weather office forecasts mostly dry, warmer conditions over the next three months, with El Niño conditions most likely in June-July-August but rainfall boost expected later, alongside monitoring of the...
The World Meteorological Organization says South Asia is likely to see below-average rainfall in the June–September 2026 monsoon, alongside above-normal temperatures. The forecast aims to help agriculture, wate...