‘Supersized’ El Niño could fuel extreme weather into 2027
WMO said the weather phenomenon, which has been intensifying since August, could become the strongest on record by December and continue into early 2027.
WMO said the weather phenomenon, which has been intensifying since August, could become the strongest on record by December and continue into early 2027.
The rainfall is expected to be accompanied by gusty winds, with the heaviest downpours anticipated between October 26 and 28 before rainfall intensity begins to decrease towards the end of the month
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Secretary-General Celeste Saulo said the expected intensity of the weather phenomenon exceeds the limits of monitoring charts that have been used for the past four decades.
In a media statement dated October 19, 2026, the commission said water was already flowing through the spillway following the planned intervention, which is intended to improve the dam’s preparedness for heavy rainfall and help mitigate flood risks
The MPs, drawn from the Departmental Committee on Environment, Forestry and Mining, raised concerns during a site inspection at the Kenya Wildlife Service (KWS) headquarters in Lake Nakuru National Park on Saturday.
In its latest seasonal climate update released on Thursday, the agency said the sea-surface temperature anomaly in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific could reach about 3.7°C above normal between October and December. This would surpass the previous record of 2.6°C recorded between November 2015 and January 2016.
According to the PS, parents should also take extra care to keep children away from flooded sections, warning that floodwater can pose serious dangers even when it does not appear threatening.
The department's latest outlook comes as meteorologists assess the role of ocean temperatures in determining the distribution and intensity of rainfall expected during the October-December period.
In a statement on Monday, KHRC demanded that the government put human rights at the centre of preparations and interventions for the El Niño rains expected between late September and December this year.
In a food safety advisory issued on Monday, the ministry said experience from previous El Niño seasons showed that heavy rains, flooding and high humidity could lead to a sharp rise in illnesses such as cholera, typhoid and aflatoxin poisoning.
The Kenya Red Cross Society says heavy rains could increase the risk of flooding, landslides and other weather-related disasters in the region.
As El Niño rains approach, a Senate committee has warned that Malindi’s lack of a sewer system and weak drainage could heighten sanitation-related health risks, and has ordered Kilifi County to urgently address sewerage and drainage infrastructure.
The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said in its September 10, 2026 assessment that there is a greater than 90 per cent chance of a very strong El Niño during the Northern Hemisphere autumn and winter of 2026-27
The Governor issued the directive on Thursday during a meeting at Barabara Plaza in Nairobi attended by KURA Director-General Eng. Silas Kinoti, county and KURA engineers and contractors.
In a public notice issued on Wednesday, the authority urged the public to “avoid venturing into sea during periods of adverse weather and rough sea conditions”.
The preparedness programme is being coordinated by Governor Sakaja and brings together the Nairobi County Government, national agencies and humanitarian organisations involved in roads, drainage and emergency response.
The Deputy President specifically cautioned the public against entering flooded areas or going near rivers when movement restrictions are issued.
The Japan Meteorological Agency had issued a warning of an “imminent threat to life” as Dujuan approached, although some of the alerts were later reduced as the storm moved away from the worst-hit areas.
In a public service advisory issued ahead of the October-November-December (OND) rains, the government through the Office of the Government Spokesperson and the Ministry of Information, Communications and the Digital Economy said the country should not wait for the weather to turn into a disaster before taking action.
The Deputy President gave the assurance on Wednesday during the 15th Development Partnership Forum held at the Official Residence in Karen, Nairobi, where he co-chaired the meeting with United Nations Resident Coordinator Garry Conille and Germany's Ambassador to Kenya Sebastian Groth.
The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) estimates that between 2 million and 2.49 million people will need urgent food assistance in March 2027. This would mark a decline from the 3.5 million to 3.99 million people projected to require assistance in September 2026.
The ministry has urged Kenyans to follow official health and weather advisories and disregard rumours and misinformation as El Nino preparations intensify ahead of the expected rains
The Water CS said the government had to acknowledge Kenya’s vulnerability to alternating periods of heavy rainfall and drought rather than assume that a season of good rains would solve the country’s water problems.
The Monday meeting brought together the Kenya Red Cross, Kenya Urban Roads Authority (KURA), Kenya National Highways Authority (KeNHA), Kenya Rural Roads Authority (KeRRA), National Disaster Management teams and other partners involved in flood preparedness and response.
According to the seven-day forecast issued on Monday, September 14, rainfall is expected in parts of Baringo, Bomet, Bungoma, Busia, Elgeyo Marakwet, Embu, Garissa, Homa Bay, Kajiado, Kakamega, Kericho, Kiambu, Kilifi, Kirinyaga, Kisii, Kisumu, Kitui, Kwale and Laikipia.
The Governor said the restriction was also aimed at preventing construction materials from being left in places where they could interfere with roads and drainage as rainfall increases.
The Institution of Surveyors of Kenya (ISK) want property managers to carry out inspections and repairs before the rains intensify, instead of waiting for flooding or structural damage to occur.
The Kenya Meteorological Service Authority says its technical teams are closely tracking changes in weather and climate conditions and will continue issuing forecasts, advisories and updates to national and county governments, humanitarian and development organisations, the media and the public.
Chicago was ranked the world’s most climate-resilient city, followed by Addis Ababa, Melbourne, Barcelona, Ankara, Buenos Aires, Paris, Istanbul, Bogotá and Nairobi.
The latest record came after an exceptionally hot summer that brought severe heatwaves and wildfires across several parts of the world. Western Europe and the contiguous United States both experienced their hottest summers ever recorded.